Blog

Key themes have the potential to shape economic developments and drive certain sectors for decades to come.

The longstanding relationship between the U.S. and Europe is changing, with deep consequences for the euro area and its economy. We look into the impact of this metamorphosis on the corporate sector and discuss the related investment opportunities.

Dear Friends, We hope your week has been a good one. Approaching the final stretch of 2025, the Canadian and U.S. economies appear well-positioned to extend their expansions. Strong earnings delivery, a favourable policy mix, and abating trade uncertainty...

Long-term economic trends have left the U.S. economy increasingly reliant on spending by upper-income households. We unpack the potential implications for economic stability and Federal Reserve policymaking.

The White House has made broad interpretations of existing legislative authority to make unilateral policy moves. We examine how this centralized ad hoc decision-making raises structural concerns and how the economic policy framework may evolve.

Dear Friends, We hope you’ve had a great week. The market backdrop appears incrementally constructive, with the U.S. government shutdown now behind us and a strong earnings season bolstering equity market sentiment. We discuss these developments along...

The greenback’s volatile year underscores the interplay between cyclical drivers and longer-term valuation challenges—factors that could have implications for global equity leadership.

We’re increasingly of the view that a series of disruptions are masking a very real cyclical U.S. economic slowdown underneath the surface.

Overall, the story of Budget 2025 is as expected. There is big new spending and deficits that would be even larger without review savings. Buffers are slim against the two fiscal anchors of a balanced operating budget by 2028-29, and a declining deficit-to-GDP...